Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Schenn wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.1% vs Roy 47.9% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 81.2%
Defensive zone
Schenn 55.4%
Neutral zone
Schenn 72.3%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Schenn
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Schenn
Roy
Last 8: Schenn 5-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
4
1
Schenn
Roy
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Schenn
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (962)
48.6% (679)
+3.6%
Power Play
51.2% (166)
48.0% (50)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
34.7% (49)
+22.7%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Schenn is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Schenn shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Schenn
Roy
Home
51.1% (575)
49.3% (345)
Away
53.4% (607)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Schenn
Roy
P1
51.4%
47.6%
P2
52.7%
47.1%
P3
52.7%
47.9%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:47 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 18:08 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 07:47 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 09:42 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |