Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.1% vs Johansen 52.9% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 65.3%
Defensive zone
Schenn 62.0%
Neutral zone
Schenn 63.3%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Schenn
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Schenn
Johansen
Last 5: Schenn 1-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
4
Schenn
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (649)
53.4% (845)
-3.8%
Power Play
47.7% (44)
58.8% (102)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (21)
44.7% (85)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Schenn is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Schenn shoots left. Johansen is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Schenn
Johansen
Home
50.5% (333)
53.2% (479)
Away
47.8% (381)
53.2% (553)
By Period
Schenn
Johansen
P1
48.3%
53.8%
P2
52.2%
53.9%
P3
46.5%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 07:15 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 11:48 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 13:03 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 11:46 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 14:52 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |