Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs Johansen 58.2% (-12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 86.9%
Defensive zone
Johansen 55.7%
Neutral zone
Johansen 79.8%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 70.7%
29.3%
70.7%
Schenn
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Schenn
Johansen
Last 8: Schenn 5-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
0
Schenn
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
3
Schenn
Johansen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
59.8% (625)
-14.2%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
58.2% (196)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
51.9% (27)
-5.8%
On even strength, Johansen has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Schenn is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Schenn shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Schenn
Johansen
Home
46.8% (494)
60.3% (436)
Away
46.3% (520)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Schenn
Johansen
P1
50.3%
61.3%
P2
47.0%
60.4%
P3
42.2%
56.0%
OT
50.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
46.6%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 05:38 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 16:45 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:07 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |