Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.4% vs Johansen 52.8% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 55.6%
Defensive zone
Schenn 51.9%
Neutral zone
Schenn 56.0%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Schenn
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Schenn
Johansen
Last 10: Schenn 6-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
4
Schenn
Johansen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Schenn
Johansen
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Schenn
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (729)
51.9% (597)
-4.3%
Power Play
60.3% (126)
57.9% (133)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
54.3% (81)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Schenn is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (339).
Schenn shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Schenn
Johansen
Home
55.6% (453)
55.8% (387)
Away
43.3% (467)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Schenn
Johansen
P1
48.4%
50.0%
P2
50.3%
56.2%
P3
50.8%
52.6%
OT
22.2%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 09:07 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 18:01 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 02:37 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 01:06 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 11:11 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:23 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 07:51 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 17:49 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 14:02 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 13:51 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 01:04 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |