Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Schenn wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.2% vs Johansen 52.4% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 52.4%
Defensive zone
Schenn 75.0%
Neutral zone
Schenn 63.1%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Schenn
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Schenn
Johansen
Last 7: Schenn 2-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Schenn
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Schenn
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
3
Schenn
Johansen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (542)
49.4% (1,010)
-0.7%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
62.3% (236)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
67.2% (67)
-27.2%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Schenn is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Schenn shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Schenn
Johansen
Home
49.0% (286)
54.7% (655)
Away
49.1% (293)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Schenn
Johansen
P1
47.7%
52.2%
P2
48.7%
50.7%
P3
51.4%
54.8%
OT
25.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
46.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 09:29 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 06:39 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 04:24 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 15:15 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 15:06 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 12:49 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 06:22 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |