Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.2% vs Lafferty 43.5% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 59.7%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 58.1%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 65.1%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Schenn
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Schenn
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Lafferty
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Schenn
Lafferty
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Schenn
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (542)
40.9% (232)
+7.8%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
100.0% (1)
-29.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
40.0% (30)
+0.0%
On power play, Lafferty has a +29.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Schenn is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Schenn shoots left. Lafferty is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Schenn
Lafferty
Home
49.0% (286)
38.2% (123)
Away
49.1% (293)
43.6% (140)
By Period
Schenn
Lafferty
P1
47.7%
41.6%
P2
48.7%
36.7%
P3
51.4%
45.5%
Final 5 min
46.4%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.1%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
41.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 19:15 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 08:35 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 02:04 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |