Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.1% vs Lafferty 50.4% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 64.3%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 59.9%
Neutral zone
Schenn 53.6%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Schenn
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Schenn
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Lafferty
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Schenn
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (962)
50.7% (144)
+1.5%
Power Play
51.2% (166)
50.0% (2)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
50.0% (10)
+7.4%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Schenn is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Schenn shoots left. Lafferty is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Schenn
Lafferty
Home
51.1% (575)
53.2% (62)
Away
53.4% (607)
48.9% (94)
By Period
Schenn
Lafferty
P1
51.4%
53.3%
P2
52.7%
46.7%
P3
52.7%
52.8%
Final 5 min
51.6%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 13:28 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:50 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |