Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs Lafferty 50.9% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 71.9%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 67.0%
Neutral zone
Schenn 51.3%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Schenn
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Schenn
Lafferty
Last 6: Schenn 3-3 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Lafferty
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
1
2
Schenn
Lafferty
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
52.2% (366)
-6.6%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
60.0% (15)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
46.2% (104)
-0.1%
On power play, Lafferty has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Schenn is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Schenn shoots left. Lafferty is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Schenn
Lafferty
Home
46.8% (494)
53.1% (258)
Away
46.3% (520)
48.9% (227)
By Period
Schenn
Lafferty
P1
50.3%
52.5%
P2
47.0%
49.7%
P3
42.2%
51.3%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 16:28 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:42 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 10:16 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 02:47 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 3 | 11:49 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |