Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Aho 50.0% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 67.2%
Defensive zone
Aho 61.0%
Neutral zone
Aho 62.6%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 67.2%
32.8%
67.2%
Schenn
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Schenn
Aho
Last 5: Schenn 1-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
4
Schenn
Aho
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (613)
49.9% (851)
+1.3%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
53.5% (144)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
72.7% (22)
43.3% (60)
+29.4%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +29.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Schenn is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Schenn shoots left. Aho is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Schenn
Aho
Home
54.0% (367)
53.2% (554)
Away
53.3% (375)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Schenn
Aho
P1
48.6%
49.1%
P2
52.0%
50.8%
P3
59.0%
49.7%
OT
50.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
54.8%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 05:12 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 05:29 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 00:40 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |