Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.1% vs Aho 54.9% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 50.9%
Defensive zone
Schenn 67.4%
Neutral zone
Schenn 61.7%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Schenn
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Schenn
Aho
Last 10: Schenn 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
4
2
Schenn
Aho
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Schenn
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Schenn
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (962)
54.5% (870)
-2.3%
Power Play
51.2% (166)
62.4% (266)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
37.1% (62)
+20.3%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Schenn is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (741).
Schenn shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Schenn
Aho
Home
51.1% (575)
53.9% (603)
Away
53.4% (607)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Schenn
Aho
P1
51.4%
54.1%
P2
52.7%
55.0%
P3
52.7%
57.4%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:17 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 06:05 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 03:20 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 03:16 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |