Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs Aho 51.2% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 60.0%
Defensive zone
Schenn 75.4%
Neutral zone
Schenn 64.0%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Schenn
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Schenn
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Schenn
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Schenn
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
48.5% (778)
-2.9%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
63.4% (191)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
50.8% (65)
-4.7%
On power play, Aho has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Schenn is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Schenn shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Schenn
Aho
Home
46.8% (494)
51.3% (530)
Away
46.3% (520)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Schenn
Aho
P1
50.3%
50.0%
P2
47.0%
51.3%
P3
42.2%
52.1%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 15:21 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 15:01 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |