Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.4% vs Aho 53.8% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 58.9%
Defensive zone
Schenn 67.8%
Neutral zone
Schenn 55.6%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Schenn
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Schenn
Aho
Last 7: Schenn 3-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
3
Schenn
Aho
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Schenn
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (729)
51.2% (785)
-3.6%
Power Play
60.3% (126)
63.8% (213)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
57.9% (57)
-10.2%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Schenn is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Schenn shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Schenn
Aho
Home
55.6% (453)
54.9% (548)
Away
43.3% (467)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Schenn
Aho
P1
48.4%
52.8%
P2
50.3%
58.9%
P3
50.8%
50.6%
OT
22.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2024 | 3 | 17:10 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 09:36 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 15:39 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 13:56 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 08:36 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |