Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.4% vs Seguin 55.4% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 58.4%
Defensive zone
Seguin 69.5%
Neutral zone
Seguin 76.4%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Schenn
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Schenn
Seguin
Last 7: Schenn 5-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (729)
56.9% (478)
-9.3%
Power Play
60.3% (126)
57.4% (54)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
51.3% (76)
-3.6%
On even strength, Seguin has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Schenn is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (339).
Schenn shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Schenn
Seguin
Home
55.6% (453)
57.4% (317)
Away
43.3% (467)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Schenn
Seguin
P1
48.4%
50.3%
P2
50.3%
60.4%
P3
50.8%
58.0%
OT
22.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.6%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 12:58 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 14:16 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 18:08 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 13:23 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |