Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 28 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Seguin 53.6% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Schenn leads 46-30 in 76 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 65.0%
Defensive zone
Seguin 89.4%
Neutral zone
Seguin 80.7%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 77.8%
22.2%
77.8%
Schenn
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
46
-
30
(76 meetings)
46
30
Schenn
Seguin
Last 10: Schenn 8-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
20
8
Schenn
Seguin
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
14
11
Schenn
Seguin
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
12
11
Schenn
Seguin
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,799)
53.7% (8,071)
-5.7%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
55.9% (810)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (396)
49.3% (762)
-0.8%
On even strength, Seguin has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Schenn is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Schenn shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Schenn
Seguin
Home
49.7% (5,030)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Schenn
Seguin
P1
48.7%
52.8%
P2
48.6%
53.3%
P3
48.3%
54.7%
OT
50.9%
54.7%
Final 5 min
49.3%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 17:42 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 02:34 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 14:26 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 12:58 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 14:16 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 18:08 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 13:23 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 09:20 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 00:59 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 3 | 16:45 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 3 | 10:11 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 10:14 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 15:02 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |