Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.6% vs 53.6%). Look for Schenn on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Seguin 52.5% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 61.3%
Defensive zone
Seguin 58.1%
Neutral zone
Schenn 61.3%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Schenn
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Schenn
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (613)
53.2% (201)
-2.0%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
60.0% (25)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
72.7% (22)
44.4% (9)
+28.3%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Schenn is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Schenn shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Schenn
Seguin
Home
54.0% (367)
56.3% (126)
Away
53.3% (375)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Schenn
Seguin
P1
48.6%
44.3%
P2
52.0%
52.1%
P3
59.0%
62.5%
OT
50.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 17:42 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 02:34 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 14:26 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |