Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs Johnston 44.8% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 68.4%
Defensive zone
Schenn 52.3%
Neutral zone
Schenn 53.7%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Schenn
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Schenn
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Johnston
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
42.5% (318)
+3.1%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
55.6% (9)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
62.5% (8)
-16.4%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Schenn is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Schenn shoots left. Johnston is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Schenn
Johnston
Home
46.8% (494)
40.5% (168)
Away
46.3% (520)
46.1% (167)
By Period
Schenn
Johnston
P1
50.3%
46.9%
P2
47.0%
40.4%
P3
42.2%
41.9%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 18:33 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 3 | 10:22 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 1 | 07:44 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |