Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Schenn wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.1% vs Johnston 51.0% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Johnston leads 15-9 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 51.4%
Defensive zone
Johnston 66.5%
Neutral zone
Johnston 57.7%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Schenn
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
15
(24 meetings)
9
15
Schenn
Johnston
Last 10: Schenn 3-7 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
4
5
Schenn
Johnston
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
3
7
Schenn
Johnston
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
2
3
Schenn
Johnston
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (962)
52.6% (696)
-0.4%
Power Play
51.2% (166)
52.3% (88)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
42.4% (125)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Schenn is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Schenn shoots left. Johnston is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Schenn
Johnston
Home
51.1% (575)
52.8% (458)
Away
53.4% (607)
49.4% (451)
By Period
Schenn
Johnston
P1
51.4%
48.9%
P2
52.7%
52.3%
P3
52.7%
51.4%
OT
50.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 16:38 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 08:11 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 06:04 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 01:54 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 16:38 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 14:36 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:27 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:19 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:38 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 06:45 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 06:37 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 04:31 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 04:29 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 13:47 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |