Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 50.2%). Look for Schenn on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.4% vs Johnston 50.1% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 53.5%
Defensive zone
Johnston 68.9%
Neutral zone
Johnston 60.8%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Schenn
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Schenn
Johnston
Last 5: Schenn 4-1 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Johnston
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Johnston
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (729)
50.7% (552)
-3.1%
Power Play
60.3% (126)
61.5% (13)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
43.5% (69)
+4.2%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Schenn is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (339).
Schenn shoots left. Johnston is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Schenn
Johnston
Home
55.6% (453)
50.3% (342)
Away
43.3% (467)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Schenn
Johnston
P1
48.4%
54.4%
P2
50.3%
47.2%
P3
50.8%
49.4%
OT
22.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 03:20 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 12:53 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 11:41 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 16:34 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |