Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.1% vs Gourde 49.7% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 73.6%
Defensive zone
Gourde 50.1%
Neutral zone
Schenn 62.1%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Schenn
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Schenn
Gourde
Last 6: Schenn 4-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Schenn
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
4
0
Schenn
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (962)
51.2% (469)
+1.0%
Power Play
51.2% (166)
42.9% (21)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
37.5% (48)
+19.9%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Schenn is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (741).
Schenn shoots left. Gourde is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Schenn
Gourde
Home
51.1% (575)
47.8% (301)
Away
53.4% (607)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Schenn
Gourde
P1
51.4%
47.3%
P2
52.7%
53.4%
P3
52.7%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 15:54 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 15:37 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 02:27 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 02:20 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 08:27 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |