Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Gourde 46.0% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 63.0%
Defensive zone
Gourde 79.4%
Neutral zone
Gourde 65.6%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 67.8%
32.2%
67.8%
Schenn
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Schenn
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Schenn
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Schenn
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Schenn
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (613)
47.2% (654)
+4.0%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
45.0% (20)
+18.6%
Penalty Kill
72.7% (22)
32.2% (87)
+40.5%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +40.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Schenn is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Schenn shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Schenn
Gourde
Home
54.0% (367)
44.1% (322)
Away
53.3% (375)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Schenn
Gourde
P1
48.6%
42.4%
P2
52.0%
49.8%
P3
59.0%
44.3%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 17:37 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:50 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |