Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 48.2%). Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Gourde 48.2% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 64.7%
Defensive zone
Gourde 56.5%
Neutral zone
Gourde 50.7%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Schenn
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
16
(24 meetings)
8
16
Schenn
Gourde
Last 10: Schenn 4-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
6
Schenn
Gourde
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
3
Schenn
Gourde
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
6
7
Schenn
Gourde
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,799)
48.4% (4,954)
-0.4%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
57.4% (376)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (396)
39.9% (554)
+8.6%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Schenn is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,675).
Schenn shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Schenn
Gourde
Home
49.7% (5,030)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Schenn
Gourde
P1
48.7%
49.9%
P2
48.6%
47.4%
P3
48.3%
47.5%
OT
50.9%
37.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 17:37 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:50 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 15:54 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 15:37 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 02:27 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 02:20 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 08:27 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 2 | 06:42 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:50 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 08:53 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 11:33 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:03 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 05:11 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 17:26 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 01:31 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 2 | 18:31 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 3 | 16:38 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |