Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 51.3% vs Carter 56.4% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaunce 58.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 65.1%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 52.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Gaunce
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Gaunce
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaunce
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (126)
57.9% (885)
-5.5%
On even strength, Carter has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Gaunce is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (42).
Gaunce shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Carter
Home
46.9% (49)
58.2% (543)
Away
55.8% (77)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Gaunce
Carter
P1
54.5%
57.5%
P2
46.2%
57.1%
P3
55.8%
55.8%
Final 5 min
62.9%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
52.4%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 06:50 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |