Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.5% vs Coyle 47.1% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 62.7%
Defensive zone
Howden 70.0%
Neutral zone
Howden 56.6%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Howden
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Howden
Coyle
Last 6: Howden 4-2 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
1
Howden
Coyle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
4
1
Howden
Coyle
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (417)
46.6% (562)
+0.4%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
50.7% (69)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (83)
42.6% (68)
+10.4%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Howden is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Howden shoots left. Coyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Howden
Coyle
Home
44.8% (268)
44.3% (332)
Away
51.8% (253)
48.8% (367)
By Period
Howden
Coyle
P1
51.6%
47.5%
P2
43.7%
47.5%
P3
50.0%
45.7%
OT
50.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
46.5%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.2%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2019 | 3 | 19:15 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 3 | 13:45 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 3 | 00:43 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 2 | 19:06 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 2 | 01:08 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Brett Howden |