Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 46.1% vs Coyle 51.5% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 51.5%
Defensive zone
Coyle 52.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 52.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Howden
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Howden
Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Coyle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
2
Howden
Coyle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (330)
53.0% (1,046)
-5.7%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
57.6% (144)
-35.4%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
43.6% (287)
-17.7%
On power play, Coyle has a +35.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Howden is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (123).
Howden shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Home / Away
Howden
Coyle
Home
44.3% (176)
54.5% (719)
Away
45.8% (190)
48.8% (758)
By Period
Howden
Coyle
P1
43.1%
51.1%
P2
43.1%
50.0%
P3
48.1%
53.3%
OT
100.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
45.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 08:52 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 05:20 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |