Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.5%). Howden wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.4% vs Coyle 50.5% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 64.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 64.3%
Neutral zone
Howden 50.3%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Howden
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Howden
Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
1
Howden
Coyle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (381)
52.3% (811)
-1.9%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
44.3% (61)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
44.8% (181)
+3.5%
On power play, Howden has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Howden is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Home / Away
Howden
Coyle
Home
47.7% (195)
49.0% (537)
Away
52.8% (233)
52.1% (516)
By Period
Howden
Coyle
P1
51.1%
48.7%
P2
52.6%
49.6%
P3
48.8%
53.1%
OT
33.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.5%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |