Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Howden wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Coyle 48.8% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 51.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 71.5%
Neutral zone
Coyle 57.8%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Howden
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Howden
Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
1
Howden
Coyle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
2
Howden
Coyle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
1
Howden
Coyle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
49.5% (576)
+3.9%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
54.2% (48)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
43.4% (145)
+4.7%
On power play, Coyle has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Howden is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Howden
Coyle
Home
48.8% (258)
47.4% (409)
Away
56.6% (258)
50.0% (360)
By Period
Howden
Coyle
P1
54.0%
50.8%
P2
53.2%
46.0%
P3
50.9%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
64.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%