Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 51.1% vs Larkin 54.1% (-2.9%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 60.3%
Defensive zone
Howden 54.0%
Neutral zone
Howden 54.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Howden
Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (214)
53.6% (886)
-0.3%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
59.3% (317)
-26.0%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
48.7% (152)
-28.7%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +28.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Howden is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Howden shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Home / Away
Howden
Larkin
Home
55.2% (96)
56.6% (700)
Away
48.9% (131)
52.1% (655)
By Period
Howden
Larkin
P1
42.0%
55.4%
P2
55.8%
54.7%
P3
55.6%
52.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
51.5%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%