Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Larkin 54.2% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 50.9%
Defensive zone
Howden 57.4%
Neutral zone
Howden 59.2%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Howden
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Howden
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Howden
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
52.6% (1,117)
+0.8%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
60.7% (305)
-20.7%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
55.9% (177)
-7.8%
On power play, Larkin has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Howden is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (345).
Howden shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Home / Away
Howden
Larkin
Home
48.8% (258)
54.7% (783)
Away
56.6% (258)
54.3% (816)
By Period
Howden
Larkin
P1
54.0%
55.9%
P2
53.2%
56.1%
P3
50.9%
51.1%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.9%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |