Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 47.6% vs Malkin 44.1% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 53.0%
Defensive zone
Howden 82.8%
Neutral zone
Howden 73.9%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Howden
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Howden
Malkin
Last 6: Howden 5-1 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Howden
Malkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
4
0
Howden
Malkin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (191)
42.4% (340)
+7.3%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
47.1% (17)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (48)
0.0% (1)
+35.4%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +35.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Howden is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Howden shoots left. Malkin is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Howden
Malkin
Home
42.8% (138)
43.6% (172)
Away
51.3% (115)
41.4% (186)
By Period
Howden
Malkin
P1
47.9%
43.4%
P2
49.4%
44.2%
P3
43.3%
38.7%
Final 5 min
45.7%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
46.6%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 06:30 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 05:15 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 09:11 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 16:04 | Defensive | Brett Howden |