Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Malkin 46.4% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 80.0%
Defensive zone
Malkin 53.6%
Neutral zone
Malkin 65.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Howden
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Howden
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
3
Howden
Malkin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
45.5% (602)
+7.9%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
50.0% (30)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
100.0% (1)
-51.9%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Howden is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (345).
Howden shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
Howden
Malkin
Home
48.8% (258)
47.5% (326)
Away
56.6% (258)
44.0% (307)
By Period
Howden
Malkin
P1
54.0%
49.3%
P2
53.2%
44.7%
P3
50.9%
42.3%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.9%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2025 | 2 | 01:06 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 17:46 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 11:23 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 09:39 | Neutral | Brett Howden |