Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Malkin 45.9% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 12-12 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 74.3%
Defensive zone
Howden 74.4%
Neutral zone
Howden 52.1%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Howden
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
12
(24 meetings)
12
12
Howden
Malkin
Last 10: Howden 7-3 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
7
Howden
Malkin
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
9
0
Howden
Malkin
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
5
Howden
Malkin
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
45.6% (10,081)
+4.0%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
50.1% (668)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
32.2% (59)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Howden is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,152).
Howden shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Home / Away
Howden
Malkin
Home
48.4% (1,608)
47.6% (5,395)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
44.0% (5,436)
By Period
Howden
Malkin
P1
49.5%
45.9%
P2
48.0%
46.2%
P3
49.9%
45.2%
OT
39.3%
49.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2025 | 2 | 01:06 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 17:46 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 11:23 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 09:39 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 01:23 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 03:23 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 06:30 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 05:15 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 09:11 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 16:04 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 1 | 06:29 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 6, 2019 | OT | 00:55 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 19:23 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 19:05 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |