Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Howden wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 46.1% vs Malkin 48.7% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 90.7%
Defensive zone
Howden 55.5%
Neutral zone
Malkin 57.4%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Howden
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Howden
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
3
0
Howden
Malkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (330)
47.9% (776)
-0.6%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
66.7% (24)
-44.5%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
100.0% (1)
-74.1%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +74.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Howden is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Howden shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Howden
Malkin
Home
44.3% (176)
49.6% (405)
Away
45.8% (190)
47.5% (396)
By Period
Howden
Malkin
P1
43.1%
49.6%
P2
43.1%
47.2%
P3
48.1%
48.5%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 01:23 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 03:23 | Defensive | Brett Howden |