Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.6% vs Hughes 38.0% (+13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 79.8%
Defensive zone
Hughes 70.9%
Neutral zone
Hughes 66.1%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 73.0%
27.0%
73.0%
Howden
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Howden
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Howden
Hughes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Howden
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (282)
34.5% (342)
+14.1%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
42.9% (7)
-42.9%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
25.0% (4)
+12.5%
On power play, Hughes has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Howden is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Howden shoots left. Hughes is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Howden
Hughes
Home
52.6% (173)
32.6% (187)
Away
41.5% (118)
36.7% (166)
By Period
Howden
Hughes
P1
51.6%
33.9%
P2
37.1%
34.2%
P3
55.3%
36.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
29.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.1%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 15:34 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |