Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Hughes 36.6% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Howden leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 55.1%
Defensive zone
Howden 93.1%
Neutral zone
Howden 86.4%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
Howden
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
7
(19 meetings)
12
7
Howden
Hughes
Last 10: Howden 6-4 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
4
3
Howden
Hughes
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
3
0
Howden
Hughes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
5
4
Howden
Hughes
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
36.0% (2,887)
+13.6%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
38.8% (224)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
31.0% (42)
+12.2%
On even strength, Howden has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Howden is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,152).
Howden shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Home / Away
Howden
Hughes
Home
48.4% (1,608)
36.8% (1,670)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
35.4% (1,483)
By Period
Howden
Hughes
P1
49.5%
36.9%
P2
48.0%
33.6%
P3
49.9%
38.1%
OT
39.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
48.6%
34.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 15:34 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 08:38 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 06:32 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 03:13 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 19:19 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 15:25 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 08:28 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 2 | 00:25 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 2 | 00:31 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 18:16 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 17:17 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 17:12 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |