Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Hughes 39.2% (+15.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 50.6%
Defensive zone
Howden 81.3%
Neutral zone
Howden 75.4%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Howden
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Howden
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Hughes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Hughes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
37.9% (623)
+15.5%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
33.3% (33)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
36.4% (11)
+11.7%
On even strength, Howden has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Howden is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (345).
Howden shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Howden
Hughes
Home
48.8% (258)
36.6% (314)
Away
56.6% (258)
38.5% (353)
By Period
Howden
Hughes
P1
54.0%
36.4%
P2
53.2%
35.6%
P3
50.9%
41.8%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |