Brett Howden vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Pageau 58.7% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 67.1%
Defensive zone
Howden 67.2%
Neutral zone
Howden 68.0%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Howden
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Howden
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Pageau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Howden
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Howden
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
59.6% (711)
-6.2%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
64.0% (114)
-24.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
56.4% (163)
-8.3%
On power play, Pageau has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Howden is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Home / Away
Howden
Pageau
Home
48.8% (258)
59.3% (506)
Away
56.6% (258)
60.0% (482)
By Period
Howden
Pageau
P1
54.0%
56.8%
P2
53.2%
64.4%
P3
50.9%
56.9%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:27 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:20 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 05:30 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | Brett Howden |