Brett Howden vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Pageau 54.8% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 37-15 in 52 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 85.9%
Defensive zone
Howden 94.5%
Neutral zone
Howden 89.0%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 90.0%
90.0%
10.0%
Howden
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
37
(52 meetings)
15
37
Howden
Pageau
Last 10: Howden 2-8 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
10
10
Howden
Pageau
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
17
Howden
Pageau
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
10
Howden
Pageau
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
55.7% (9,486)
-6.1%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
57.0% (1,002)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
49.6% (2,069)
-6.4%
On power play, Pageau has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Howden is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Howden shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,837).
Home / Away
Howden
Pageau
Home
48.4% (1,608)
56.3% (6,214)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
Howden
Pageau
P1
49.5%
54.6%
P2
48.0%
56.3%
P3
49.9%
53.5%
OT
39.3%
54.4%
Final 5 min
48.6%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | OT | 02:08 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 10:58 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 03:22 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 03:17 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 17:13 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:55 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:47 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 10:05 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 10:00 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:33 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 17:23 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:27 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:20 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 05:30 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 11:04 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 10:48 | Offensive | Brett Howden |