Brett Howden vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Howden wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.4% vs Pageau 58.8% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 12-2 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 86.4%
Defensive zone
Howden 86.2%
Neutral zone
Howden 84.9%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 85.9%
85.9%
14.1%
Howden
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
12
(14 meetings)
2
12
Howden
Pageau
Last 10: Howden 2-8 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
2
Howden
Pageau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
7
Howden
Pageau
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
3
Howden
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (381)
59.1% (687)
-8.7%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
69.4% (36)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
60.1% (213)
-11.8%
On power play, Pageau has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Howden is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Howden
Pageau
Home
47.7% (195)
57.8% (377)
Away
52.8% (233)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Howden
Pageau
P1
51.1%
54.1%
P2
52.6%
62.1%
P3
48.8%
61.8%
OT
33.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.5%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | OT | 02:08 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 10:58 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 03:22 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 03:17 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 17:13 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:55 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:47 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 10:05 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 10:00 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:33 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 17:23 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |