Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 51.1% vs McTavish 43.3% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 82.4%
Defensive zone
Howden 75.7%
Neutral zone
Howden 73.6%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Howden
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Howden
McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
2
0
Howden
McTavish
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (214)
42.4% (675)
+10.9%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
40.5% (42)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
50.0% (8)
-30.0%
On penalty kill, McTavish has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Howden is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Howden shoots left. McTavish is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Howden
McTavish
Home
55.2% (96)
41.9% (372)
Away
48.9% (131)
42.8% (353)
By Period
Howden
McTavish
P1
42.0%
47.2%
P2
55.8%
36.2%
P3
55.6%
43.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
51.5%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2023 | 3 | 09:56 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |