Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 46.1% vs McTavish 51.5% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 68.3%
Defensive zone
Howden 70.9%
Neutral zone
McTavish 53.7%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Howden
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Howden
McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
McTavish
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
McTavish
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
Howden
McTavish
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (330)
51.3% (725)
-4.0%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
55.8% (113)
-33.6%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
28.6% (7)
-2.7%
On power play, McTavish has a +33.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Howden is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Howden shoots left. McTavish is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Home / Away
Howden
McTavish
Home
44.3% (176)
52.0% (454)
Away
45.8% (190)
51.4% (391)
By Period
Howden
McTavish
P1
43.1%
51.3%
P2
43.1%
50.4%
P3
48.1%
53.3%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 19:09 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 07:23 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Brett Howden |