Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.6%). Look for Howden on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs McTavish 48.7% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Howden leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 65.0%
Defensive zone
Howden 66.6%
Neutral zone
McTavish 51.7%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Howden
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
7
(20 meetings)
13
7
Howden
McTavish
Last 10: Howden 6-4 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
5
1
Howden
McTavish
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
4
3
Howden
McTavish
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
4
3
Howden
McTavish
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
48.2% (2,788)
+1.4%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
52.6% (435)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
34.3% (35)
+8.9%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Howden is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,152).
Howden shoots left. McTavish is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,155).
Home / Away
Howden
McTavish
Home
48.4% (1,608)
49.8% (1,678)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
47.4% (1,580)
By Period
Howden
McTavish
P1
49.5%
50.0%
P2
48.0%
47.8%
P3
49.9%
48.4%
OT
39.3%
43.5%
Final 5 min
48.6%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 05:37 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:25 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:23 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 13:25 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 03:56 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 02:09 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 18:23 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 11:48 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 1 | 12:56 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 19:09 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 07:23 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 3 | 09:56 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |