Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.6% vs Barzal 46.9% (+1.8%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 66.0%
Defensive zone
Barzal 53.1%
Neutral zone
Howden 57.0%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Howden
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (282)
46.6% (483)
+2.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
40.9% (22)
-40.9%
On power play, Barzal has a +40.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Howden is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Howden shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Howden
Barzal
Home
52.6% (173)
49.6% (242)
Away
41.5% (118)
43.3% (263)
By Period
Howden
Barzal
P1
51.6%
42.4%
P2
37.1%
49.5%
P3
55.3%
47.7%
Final 5 min
50.6%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.1%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%