Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Barzal 42.2% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Howden leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 55.3%
Defensive zone
Howden 82.5%
Neutral zone
Howden 79.7%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 75.3%
75.3%
24.7%
Howden
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
8
(19 meetings)
11
8
Howden
Barzal
Last 10: Howden 6-4 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Howden
Barzal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
4
1
Howden
Barzal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Howden
Barzal
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
41.9% (3,565)
+7.7%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
43.4% (205)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
42.3% (26)
+0.9%
On even strength, Howden has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Howden is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Howden shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,699).
Home / Away
Howden
Barzal
Home
48.4% (1,608)
43.1% (1,895)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
40.9% (1,901)
By Period
Howden
Barzal
P1
49.5%
40.7%
P2
48.0%
44.4%
P3
49.9%
41.0%
OT
39.3%
27.6%
Final 5 min
48.6%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:56 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:50 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:30 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 10:31 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 16:09 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:12 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 09:58 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 02:13 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 15:15 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 01:11 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 02:31 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 11:57 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 08:04 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 01:09 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 05:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |