Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 51.1% vs Barzal 39.3% (+15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 53.2%
Defensive zone
Howden 90.5%
Neutral zone
Howden 84.1%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 90.5%
90.5%
9.5%
Howden
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Howden
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
2
0
Howden
Barzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (214)
35.0% (283)
+18.3%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
55.6% (9)
-22.3%
On power play, Barzal has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Howden is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Howden shoots left. Barzal is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Howden
Barzal
Home
55.2% (96)
37.0% (138)
Away
48.9% (131)
34.4% (154)
By Period
Howden
Barzal
P1
42.0%
29.5%
P2
55.8%
44.5%
P3
55.6%
31.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
51.5%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:12 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Brett Howden |