Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 46.1% vs McCarron 52.8% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 55.6%
Defensive zone
Howden 50.7%
Neutral zone
Howden 53.9%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Howden
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Howden
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Howden
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
McCarron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Howden
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (330)
54.5% (618)
-7.2%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
42.1% (19)
-19.9%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
35.3% (34)
-9.4%
On power play, McCarron has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Howden is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (123).
Howden shoots left. McCarron is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Howden
McCarron
Home
44.3% (176)
52.2% (339)
Away
45.8% (190)
54.2% (332)
By Period
Howden
McCarron
P1
43.1%
53.5%
P2
43.1%
50.6%
P3
48.1%
55.9%
Final 5 min
45.6%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 12:58 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:39 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |