Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs McCarron 54.0% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 73.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 80.9%
Neutral zone
McCarron 51.2%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 71.0%
29.0%
71.0%
Howden
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Howden
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
54.2% (756)
-0.8%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
55.6% (9)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
55.1% (158)
-7.0%
On power play, McCarron has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Howden is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Howden
McCarron
Home
48.8% (258)
54.6% (445)
Away
56.6% (258)
54.2% (478)
By Period
Howden
McCarron
P1
54.0%
53.6%
P2
53.2%
55.6%
P3
50.9%
53.7%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 10:32 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 03:12 | Defensive | Brett Howden |