Brett Howden vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs McCarron 52.7% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 78.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 60.1%
Neutral zone
Howden 61.0%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Howden
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Howden
McCarron
Last 10: Howden 4-6 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Howden
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
3
Howden
McCarron
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Howden
McCarron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
53.4% (2,901)
-3.8%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
45.3% (86)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
50.5% (463)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Howden is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Howden shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
Home / Away
Howden
McCarron
Home
48.4% (1,608)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
53.3% (1,754)
By Period
Howden
McCarron
P1
49.5%
53.9%
P2
48.0%
52.5%
P3
49.9%
52.0%
OT
39.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.6%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 18:27 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 15:37 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 10:32 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 03:12 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 12:58 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:39 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 06:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 08:31 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |