Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 46.1% vs Frost 49.5% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 78.5%
Defensive zone
Howden 71.7%
Neutral zone
Frost 51.4%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 78.5%
21.5%
78.5%
Howden
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Howden
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (330)
48.6% (704)
-1.3%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
55.7% (115)
-33.5%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
25.0% (4)
+0.9%
On power play, Frost has a +33.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Howden is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Howden shoots left. Frost is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Howden
Frost
Home
44.3% (176)
49.9% (399)
Away
45.8% (190)
49.1% (424)
By Period
Howden
Frost
P1
43.1%
51.2%
P2
43.1%
53.9%
P3
48.1%
42.7%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Brett Howden |