Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Frost 51.1% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Howden leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 74.4%
Defensive zone
Howden 65.2%
Neutral zone
Frost 50.7%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Howden
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
Howden
Frost
Last 10: Howden 6-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
3
Howden
Frost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
4
2
Howden
Frost
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
6
1
Howden
Frost
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
50.3% (825)
+3.1%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
54.9% (204)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
50.0% (4)
-1.9%
On power play, Frost has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Howden is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (345).
Howden shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Howden
Frost
Home
48.8% (258)
50.7% (489)
Away
56.6% (258)
51.7% (544)
By Period
Howden
Frost
P1
54.0%
53.6%
P2
53.2%
47.8%
P3
50.9%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.9%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 10:54 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 04:25 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 11:55 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 18:39 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 06:24 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:51 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 12:48 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 02:20 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 25, 2024 | OT | 01:07 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 13:42 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 18:10 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 10:20 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 03:16 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |