Brett Howden vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 22-14 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 69.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 57.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 58.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Howden
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
22
(36 meetings)
14
22
Howden
MacKinnon
Last 10: Howden 4-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
10
Howden
MacKinnon
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
8
7
Howden
MacKinnon
15 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Howden
MacKinnon
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
46.1% (11,218)
+3.5%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
53.3% (1,412)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
42.8% (502)
+0.4%
On even strength, Howden has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Howden is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Howden shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Howden
MacKinnon
Home
48.4% (1,608)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Howden
MacKinnon
P1
49.5%
47.4%
P2
48.0%
46.6%
P3
49.9%
46.1%
OT
39.3%
48.4%
Final 5 min
48.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | OT | 04:39 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 27, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:13 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 10:11 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 14:00 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 08:13 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 04:32 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 3 | 16:27 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 10:06 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 1 | 04:54 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 3 | 10:40 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 2 | 17:08 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 1 | 19:46 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 14:43 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |